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The Uncertain Future of the Democrat Party

Robert Dimuro

Posted on December 1, 2019 10:42

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Leading Democrat candidates are pulling the Party in two very different directions.

We’ve now witnessed several Democrat debates before 2020 has even begun. Already, it’s clear who will be in this race for the long haul and who will begin dropping out after the first few primaries. Based on months of polling data, the frontrunners are Biden, Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg. These four candidates are at the center of a growing dilemma that could undermine Party unity for many years to come.

Four years ago, the Republican Party had its own dilemma with how to handle the rise of Trump. Democrats enjoyed the show as Trump factioned the Party and severed the head of the Republican establishment. Little did they know that Trump, who they saw as an unhinged buffoon, could galvanize enough popular support to actually become President and remake the Republican Party altogether.

Currently, Democrats are facing a similar struggle. The leading candidates are pulling the Party in two very different directions. It’s now clear that unity cannot be had between the moderate establishment faction of the Party, represented by Biden and Buttigieg, and the revolutionary anti-establishment faction, represented by Sanders and Warren.

Hillary’s shocking defeat in 2016 gave the populist movement on both sides of the aisle momentum to last a generation. Trump’s presidency will leave its mark on Republican politics just as Reagan’s presidency did 30 years ago. The same can be said for Democrat politics, as Sanders and Warren are driving the narrative and pulling the Party further to the Left.

However, unlike with Trump in 2016, there’s no clear frontrunner behind whom voters can rally. Biden has proven to be too mistake-prone to gain a significant polling edge; Sanders hasn’t proven that he can rally enough support among African Americans and Evangelicals in the Deep South; it’s unclear how well Buttigieg will fare after Iowa, which is considered friendly territory for him; and it’s unclear how Warren’s personality and charisma will be received by the electorate.

So far, the one who’s winning this fight is President Trump, who can sit back and watch the candidates eat each other alive. Moreover, Trump can enjoy the fact that, while the candidates are selling their pitches to the people, he successfully made it through two grueling and protracted investigations against him, each running out of steam and failing to uncover the evidence necessary to make a serious case for impeachment. These efforts have only served to distract Democrats from the more important objectives of campaigning on the issues and defeating Trump at the ballot box.

The future has become uncertain for the Democrat Party because of two competing schools of thought. The moderate mindset is that most voters are pragmatic and aren’t receptive to ideology and transforming the country from within. The progressive mindset is that average working-class Americans are fed up with Washington, which represents the interests of large corporations over the interests of the people. Will either approach be adequate to defeat the man who few Democrats dreamed could ever be President?

Robert Dimuro

Posted on December 1, 2019 10:42

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