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The GOP’s Path to Regain the House and Senate Majorities

Erik Sofranko

Posted on April 18, 2022 01:15

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With the historic disapproval of President Biden, the Republican Party is looking to capitalize big time in November.

The 2022 midterm election polling data currently points to a Republican takeover of the House of Representatives and Senate, possibly by significant margins. The current House of Representatives has the Democrats in the slight majority with 222 seats, while the Republicans control 213.

This means the Republicans only need a net gain of five House seats to retake the majority in the 435-member chamber. They will likely gain significantly more than this as recent election forecasting models have suggested that the gains could be in the 40 to 50 seat range. This would be a red wave in the House that would put the GOP in a historically strong position.

The GOP’s strong performance in the House in 2020 is what has put them in this strong position for 2022 and beyond. The Republicans gained 13 House seats in an election year when even conservative-leaning pollsters predicted a significant loss of seats. Several of these GOP House gains occurred in California, particularly Orange County near Los Angeles. The “Defund the Police” movement has proven to be toxic for Democrats all over the country, and it will continue to cost them House and Senate seats to the Republicans, who are viewed by Independents as stronger on law and order.

With a 50-50 Senate, the Republicans only need a net gain of one seat, but they obviously have the potential for several more. The current polling data averages from Real Clear Politics indicate the Republicans are favored to pick up a net three seats. The Republican candidates in Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada are popular in their respective states and are likely to win control.

In Arizona, the Republican Attorney General Mark Brnovich will be facing incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Kelly, who won a special election in 2020 to serve the remainder of the late Republican Senator John McCain’s term. Brnovich’s popularity in the state has increased due to his strong record of law and order, and the polls indicate he has the advantage over Kelly.

Georgia’s 2020 special election winner, Rev. Raphael Warnock, who is serving the remainder of the late Republican Senator Johnny Isakson’s term, is facing an uphill battle against Republican challenger Herschel Walker. The former University of Georgia football star is presenting a strong conservative alternative to Warnock’s falling in line with the Left’s policy agenda. Polling data shows Georgians are likely to elect Walker.

In Nevada, the Republican Attorney General Adam Laxalt is running for Senate against Democrat Catherine Masto. The polls show Laxalt with a small but growing lead. Laxalt is also the son of former Nevada Republican Senator Paul Laxalt. Dean Heller, another popular former Nevada Republican Senator, declined to run in this Senate race and is instead running for Governor.

Republican wins in these states would shift the balance of the Senate to 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats.

Erik Sofranko

Posted on April 18, 2022 01:15

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Source: Daily Mail

The Texas Republican lawmaker posted two images of himself on Twitter in Palm Beach, both promising that 'a red wave is coming'...

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